LNG som drivstoff til skip

Transkript

1 Betingelser for videre utvikling Martin Wold

2 42 LNG fuelled ships in operation worldwide Ships in operation Year Type of vessel Owner Class 2000 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2003 PSV Simon Møkster DNV 2003 PSV Eidesvik DNV 2006 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2007 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2007 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2007 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2007 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2008 PSV Eidesvik Shipping DNV 2009 PSV Eidesvik Shipping DNV 2009 Car/passenger ferry Tide Sjø DNV 2009 Car/passenger ferry Tide Sjø DNV 2009 Car/passenger ferry Tide Sjø DNV 2009 Patrol vessel Remøy Management DNV 2009 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2010 Patrol vessel Remøy Management DNV 2010 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2010 Patrol vessel Remøy Management DNV 2010 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2010 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2010 Car/passenger ferry Fosen Namsos Sjø DNV 2011 PSV DOF DNV 2011 Chemical tanker Tarbit Shipping GL 2011 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2011 PSV Solstad Rederi DNV Year Type of vessel Owner Class 2012 Car/passenger ferry Fjord1 DNV 2012 PSV Eidesvik DNV 2012 PSV Olympic Shipping DNV 2012 PSV Island Offshore DNV 2012 General Cargo Nordnorsk Shipping DNV 2012 PSV Eidesvik Shipping DNV 2012 PSV Island Offshore DNV 2012 Car/passenger ferry Torghatten Nord DNV 2012 Car/passenger ferry Torghatten Nord DNV 2012 Car/passenger ferry Torghatten Nord DNV 2013 PSV REM DNV 2013 RoPax Viking Line LR 2013 Car/passenger ferry Torghatten Nord DNV 2013 Harbor vessel Incheon Port Authority KR 2013 General Cargo Eidsvaag DNV 2013 RoPax Fjordline DNV 2013 High speed RoPax Buquebus DNV Updated Excluding LNG carriers and inland waterway vessels 2

3 42 confirmed LNG fuelled newbuilds Confirmed orderbook Year Type of vessel Owner Class 2013 RoPax Fjordline DNV 2013 Car/passenger ferry Norled DNV 2013 Car/passenger ferry Norled DNV 2013 Ro-Ro Norlines DNV 2013 Ro-Ro Norlines DNV 2013 Tug Buksér & Berging DNV 2013 Patrol vessel Finish Border Guard GL 2013 Tug CNOOC CCS 2013 Tug CNOOC CCS 2014 Car/passenger ferry Society of Quebec ferries LR 2014 Car/passenger ferry Society of Quebec ferries LR 2014 Car/passenger ferry Society of Quebec ferries LR 2014 Tug Buksér & Berging DNV 2014 PSV Harvey Gulf Int. Marine ABS 2014 PSV Harvey Gulf Int. Marine ABS 2014 PSV Harvey Gulf Int. Marine ABS 2014 PSV Harvey Gulf Int. Marine ABS 2014 Gas carrier SABIC BV 2014 Gas carrier SABIC BV 2014* Product tanker Bergen Tankers LR 2014 General Cargo Egil Ulvan Rederi DNV 2014 General Cargo Egil Ulvan Rederi DNV 2014 PSV Remøy Shipping DNV 2014 Car/passenger ferry AG Ems 2014* Car/passenger ferry AG Ems GL * Conversion project Year Type of vessel Owner Class 2014 Car/passenger ferry Samsoe Municipality DNV 2014 Ro-Ro Sea-Cargo DNV 2014 Ro-Ro Sea-Cargo DNV 2015 PSV Siem Offshore DNV 2015 PSV Siem Offshore DNV 2015 PSV Simon Møkster Shipping DNV 2015 PSV Harvey Gulf Int. Marine ABS 2015 PSV Harvey Gulf Int. Marine ABS 2015 LEG carrier Evergas BV 2015 LEG carrier Evergas BV 2015 LEG carrier Evergas BV 2015 Container Ship Brodosplit 2016 Container Ship Brodosplit 2015 Container Ship TOTE Shipholdings ABS 2016 Container Ship TOTE Shipholdings ABS 2016 Car/passenger ferry Boreal Transport 2016 Car/passenger ferry Boreal Transport Updated Excluding LNG carriers and inland waterway vessels 3

4 Current development is in line with DNV projections Will the exponential growth continue? Number of ships delivered Development of LNG fuelled fleet Year of delivery Total confirmed projects DNV Shipping 2020 Updated Excluding LNG carriers and inland waterway vessels 4

5 STATUS Utviklingen av regelverk og standarder er godt på vei og i mindre grad en barriere for videre innfasing i Norge ISO/DTS IMO - IGF Code IMO rules for ship using LNG as fuel DNV Recommended Practices for LNG bunkering Guidelines for systems and installations for supply of LNG as fuel to ships Draft is out on hearing, final draft to be issued in 2014 Code will be mandatory Goal is entry into force Jan (draft in 2014) IMO Interim Guidelines for gas as ship fuel (MSC.285(86)) is voluntary until the IGF is issued (needs acceptance by flag) Guidance on functional requirements for LNG bunkering Publically available 7 th October 2013 STW is developing training requirements 5

6 LNG eller Diesel? 6

7 [MUSD] Operasjon i Norge, med avgiftsfordeler og NOx-fond støtte. Paybacktid på 1,5 år gitt en LNG-pris 20% under MGO. $10 Example 1: PSV Cumulative discounted cost difference compared to baseline [MUSD] ENGINE AND OPERATION Time in ECA 100% Installed power 8,000 kw $5 Baseline Marine Gas Oil(MGO) $0 -$5 -$10 -$15 MGO MGO + SCR LNG High LNG Low FUEL PRICE MGO 1,000 USD/tonne + taxes LNG High MGO parity LNG Low MGO parity 20% FINANCIAL Discount rate 8% Inv. decision Newbuild -$ Year LNG = MGO LNG = MGO - 20% MGO + SCR MGO Tax regime CAPEX LNG CAPEX SCR CO 2, SO X and NO X 1,900,000 MUSD 300,000 MUSD Negative values means savings compared to fuel switch 7

8 [MUSD] Operasjon i Norge, med avgiftsfordeler uten NOx-fond støtte. Paybacktid på 6,5 år gitt en LNG-pris 20% under MGO. $10 Example 2: PSV Cumulative discounted cost difference compared to baseline [MUSD] ENGINE AND OPERATION Time in ECA 100% Installed power 8,000 kw $5 $0 -$5 LNG High MGO MGO + SCR LNG Low Baseline Marine Gas Oil(MGO) FUEL PRICE MGO 1,000 USD/tonne + taxes LNG High MGO parity LNG Low MGO parity 20% -$10 FINANCIAL -$15 Discount rate 8% Inv. decision Newbuild -$ Year LNG = MGO LNG = MGO - 20% MGO + SCR MGO Tax regime CAPEX LNG CAPEX SCR CO 2, SO X and NO X 8,100,000 MUSD 750,000 MUSD Negative values means savings compared to fuel switch 8

9 [MUSD] Operasjon i Norge, med avgiftsfordeler uten NOx-fond støtte. 50% reduksjon av CAPEX for å oppnå paybacktid på 3 år. $10 Example 3.1: PSV Cumulative discounted cost difference compared to baseline [MUSD] ENGINE AND OPERATION Time in ECA 100% Installed power 8,000 kw $5 Baseline Marine Gas Oil(MGO) $0 -$5 -$10 -$15 MGO MGO + SCR LNG High LNG Low FUEL PRICE MGO 1,000 USD/tonne + taxes LNG High MGO parity LNG Low MGO parity 20% FINANCIAL Discount rate 8% Inv. decision Newbuild -$ Year LNG = MGO LNG = MGO - 20% MGO + SCR MGO Tax regime CAPEX LNG CAPEX SCR CO 2, SO X and NO X 4,000,000 MUSD 750,000 MUSD Negative values means savings compared to fuel switch 9

10 [MUSD] Operasjon i Norge, med avgiftsfordeler uten NOx-fond støtte. LNG pris = MGO 70% gir paybacktid på 3 år. $10 Example 3.2: PSV Cumulative discounted cost difference compared to baseline [MUSD] ENGINE AND OPERATION Time in ECA 100% Installed power 8,000 kw $5 Baseline Marine Gas Oil(MGO) $0 -$5 MGO MGO + SCR FUEL PRICE MGO 1,000 USD/tonne + taxes LNG MGO before taxes 70% -$10 -$15 LNG = MGO 70% FINANCIAL Discount rate 8% Inv. decision Newbuild -$ Year LNG = MGO - 80% MGO + SCR MGO Tax regime CAPEX LNG CAPEX SCR CO 2, SO X and NO X 8,100,000 MUSD 750,000 MUSD Negative values means savings compared to fuel switch 10

11 Kraftigere introduksjon av LNG i Norge hva skal til? (og hva kan næringen og myndighetene gjøre?) Regelverk og standardisering LNG tilgjengelighet LNG pris og forutsigbarhet Investeringskostnad Avgiftsregime og støtteordning Status Behov for forsterket innsats? Lav Middels Middels/Høy Middels/Høy Lav (per i dag men hva med post NOx-fondet?) Kunnskap og insentiver ved kjøp av transporttjenester - Ordinære chartere - Offentlige anbud - Staten som aktiv eier Middels Finansiell styrke for flåtefornyelse Middels/Høy 12

12 Safeguarding life, property and the environment 13