EN SIKKER OG BÆREKRAFTIG FREMTID - Slik legger vi tilrette for omstillingen Cecilie Hultmann Prosjektansvarlig 10.11.15 1 2013 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
Innhold 1. Hvem, hva og hvorfor 2. Fremtiden hvor er vi på vei? 3. 15 trender: Change is coming 4. Kampen for tilværelsen: 5 råd for videre liv 2
Kun ved å koble detaljene kan vi påvirke det store bildet We verify, certify and test against regulatory requirements, rules, standards and recommended practices We classify, We develop certify, new verify standards and test and against recommended practices We qualify new technologies and operational regulatory requirements, rules, standards and concepts recommended We qualify practices new technologies and operational concepts We give expert advice to enhance sustainable We develop We give new expert standards advice and to enhance recommended sustainable business business performance performance practices 3 3
Global utstrekning lokal kunnskap 150 400 100 16,000 år kontorer land ansatte 4
DNV GL purpose and vision Purpose To safeguard life, property and the environment Vision Global impact for a safe and sustainable future 5
DNV GL Ressurser 6
EN SIKKER OG BÆREKRAFTIG FREMTID? 7
15 TRENDER SOM PÅVIRKER FREMTIDEN 8
TREND 1: PLANET UNDER PRESSURE 10% 50% 1.5mn of the population live in areas at risk from sea level rise in 2050 of species extinct by 2100 people live in areas negatively affected by land degradation 9
TREND 2: RESOURCES FROM ABUNDANCE TO LIMITS 45% 52% 60% of global GDP affected by water stress in 2050 live in areas affected by water scarcity in 2050 of ecosystems extensively and irreversibly damaged by 2050 10
TREND 3 : ENERGY TRANSITION 80% 81% 548bn Increase in global energy demand in 2050 Of energy made up by fossil in 2050 Global fossil-fuel subsidies in 2013, 6 times higher than renewables 11
TREND 4: FUTURE DEMOGRAPHICS 9bn 4bn 1bn People on the planet in 2050 People in Africa in 2050, up from 1 billion today Refugees in 2050, largely a result of environmental factors 12
TREND 5: GROWING WEALTH GAP 1% 7/10 85 richest own as much wealth as the bottom 50% live in countries where inequality is growing rapidly Richest people own as much as the poorest 50% 13
TREND 6: EMPLOYMENT UNDER PRESSURE 200mn 13% 61mn Unemployed people globally Of youth aged 15-24 are unemployed and this is rising Jobs lost since the start of the global financial crisis in 2008 14
TREND 7: GENERATION NEXT Digital natives Crowd-sourcing Co-creating 15
TREND 8: LOCAL IS KING The global citizen in trouble Local sourcing, entrepreneurship Think global, act local movement 16
TREND 9: FRAGMENTING POWER Power is migrating South and East New nodes of power (non-state) Rise of old ideologies & narratives Protectionism & inward-orientation 17
TREND 10: DETERIORATING SECURITY Mass unemployment & inequality Widespread political & social instability Rise of religious extremism 18
TREND 11: RISE OF THE CITY 75% 3bn 65% Live in urban areas by 2050 Slum dwellers in 2050 because of unmanaged urbanisation of world mega-cities at risk from sea level rise in 2050 19
TREND 12: HYPER-TRANSPARENCY 2bn 500mn 80% The number of people owning a smartphone today The number of tweets per day The percentage of the adult population owning a smartphone in 2030 20
TREND 13: INTERNET OF THINGS 50 billion devices connected to the internet in 2020 will revolutionize our lives Monitor, optimise and control Cyber terrorism and privacy 21
TREND 14: SUSTAINABLE BUSINESS Circular Inclusive Sharing Transparent Regenerative 22
TREND 15: RADICAL INNOVATION Nano- and biotechnology 3D printing Robotics Artificial Intelligence 23
5 RÅD - KAMPEN FOR TILVÆRELSEN 24
1. Vær føre var, tenk langsiktig 25
2. Vær forberedt på regulering 26
3. Get ready to get naked 27
4. Tenk muligheter og løsninger 28
5. Søk nye samarbeid og partnerskap 29
Our Vision: Global Impact for a Safe and Sustainable Future 30