SIKKERHETSFORUMS ÅRSKONFERANSE COSL Drilling Europe AS Jørgen Arnesen Stavanger 9. juni 2015

Transkript

1 SIKKERHETSFORUMS ÅRSKONFERANSE 2015 COSL Drilling Europe AS Jørgen Arnesen Stavanger 9. juni 2015

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5 Kontraktsstatus: Norsk sokkel Name Contra Name Contractor Operator Next Operators Country J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J WEST A S NAVIGATOR O N D J F M A M J J A S O NSeadrill D WEST NAVIGATOR Seadrill Norway TRANSOCEAN SPITSBERGEN Transocean 6 TRANSOCEAN SPITSBERGEN Transocean Statoil Norway TRANSOCEAN SEARCHER Transocean 6 TRANSOCEAN SEARCHER Transocean BG Group Edison Norway WEST 6 6 VENTURE Seadrill 6 WEST VENTURE Seadrill Statoil Norway DEEPSEA ATLANTIC Odfjell 6 Drilling DEEPSEA ATLANTIC Odfjell Drilling AS Statoil Norway MAERSK GIANT Maersk 6 MAERSK GIANT Maersk Talisman Norway rigger MAERSK GUARDIAN Maersk 6 MAERSK GUARDIAN Maersk Lundin Oil Lundin Oil / Premier Norway Oil TRANSOCEAN BARENTS Transocean 6 TRANSOCEAN BARENTS Transocean Shell Norway BREDFORD DOLPHIN Fred 6 Olsen Ene BREDFORD DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy AGR Norway ISLAND 6 6 6INNOVATOR Odfjell 6 Drilling ISLAND INNOVATOR Odfjell Drilling AS Lundin Oil Norway SONGA 2 2 2TRYM Songa 6 Offshor SONGA TRYM Songa Offshore Statoil / Statoil Norway / UK / Nor LEIV 2 2EIRIKSSON Ocean 6 Rig ASA LEIV EIRIKSSON Ocean Rig ASA RMN Norway TRANSOCEAN WINNER Transocean 2 TRANSOCEAN WINNER Transocean Det Norske Oljeselskap Det Norske Oljeselskap Norway rigger MAERSK GALLANT Maersk 6 Name Contractor Operator Next Operators Country MAERSK GALLANT Maersk Statoil (ConocoPhillips) / (Total) Norway J F MROWAN A M J J NORWAY A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F Rowan M A M J Compa J A S O ROWAN NORWAY Rowan Companies ConocoPhillips Norway WEST NAVIGATOR Seadrill Norway WEST ALPHA Seadrill TRANSOCEAN SPITSBERGEN Transocean Statoil Norway WEST ALPHA Seadrill ExxonMobil Norway TRANSOCEAN SEARCHER Transocean BG Group Edison Norway COSLPIONEER COSL Europe COSLPIONEER COSL Europe Statoil Norway WEST VENTURE Seadrill Statoil Norway MAERSK REACHER Maersk DEEPSEA ATLANTIC Odfjell Drilling AS Statoil Norway MAERSK REACHER Maersk BP Norway rigger MAERSK GIANT Maersk Talisman Norway TRANSOCEAN 6 6ARCTIC Transocean TRANSOCEAN ARCTIC Transocean RMN OMV Norway MAERSK GUARDIAN Maersk Lundin Oil Lundin Oil 6 / Premier 6 6 Norway Oil SONGA DELTA Songa Offshor TRANSOCEAN BARENTS Transocean Shell Norway SONGA DELTA Songa Offshore Statoil Statoil Norway BREDFORD DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy AGR Norway MAERSK INSPIRER Maersk MAERSK INSPIRER Maersk Statoil Norway ISLAND INNOVATOR Odfjell Drilling AS Lundin Oil 6 6 Norway rigger 6SONGA DEE Songa Offshor SONGA TRYM Songa Offshore Statoil / Statoil Norway / UK / Nor SONGA DEE Songa Offshore Statoil Norway LEIV EIRIKSSON Ocean Rig ASA RMN 2 2 Norway STENA 2 2 2DON Stena Drilling STENA DON Stena Drilling Statoil Norway TRANSOCEAN WINNER Transocean Det Norske Oljeselskap Det Norske Oljeselskap 2 Norway WEST 2 2 EPSILON Seadrill WEST EPSILON Seadrill Statoil Norway MAERSK GALLANT Maersk Statoil (ConocoPhillips) / (Total) Norway ROWAN NORWAY Rowan Companies ConocoPhillips Norway WEST 6 6 HERCULES Seadrill WEST HERCULES Seadrill Statoil / Statoil Canada / Norway WEST ALPHA Seadrill ExxonMobil Norway SCARABEO Saipem S.p.A SCARABEO 8 Saipem S.p.A. ENI Norway COSLPIONEER COSL Europe Statoil Norway MAERSK REACHER Maersk BP Norway MAERSK INNOVATOR Maersk MAERSK INNOVATOR Maersk ConocoPhillips Norway TRANSOCEAN ARCTIC Transocean RMN OMV Norway ROWAN VIKING Rowan Compa ROWAN VIKING Rowan Companies Lundin Oil Norway SONGA DELTA Songa Offshore Statoil Statoil Norway MAERSK INSPIRER Maersk Statoil Norway WEST 2 2 ELARA Seadrill WEST ELARA Seadrill Statoil Norway SONGA DEE Songa Offshore Statoil Norway BIDEFORD DOLPHIN Fred 2 2 2Olsen Ene 2 2 BIDEFORD DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy Statoil Norway STENA DON Stena Drilling Statoil Norway WEST EPSILON Seadrill Statoil Norway DEEPSEA BERGEN Odfjell Drilling DEEPSEA BERGEN Odfjell Drilling AS Statoil Statoil Norway WEST HERCULES Seadrill Statoil / Statoil Canada / Norway 2SCARABEO Saipem S.p.A SCARABEO 5 Saipem S.p.A. Statoil Norway SCARABEO 8 Saipem S.p.A. ENI Norway MAERSK INNOVATOR Maersk ConocoPhillips Norway 2BORGLAND DOLPHIN Fred 6 6 6Olsen Ene 6 6 BORGLAND DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy RMN RMN Norway ROWAN VIKING Rowan Companies Lundin Oil Norway ROWAN 6 GORILLA VI Rowan Compa ROWAN GORILLA VI Rowan Companies ConocoPhillips Norway WEST ELARA Seadrill Statoil Norway BIDEFORD DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy Statoil Norway MAERSK INTREPID Maersk MAERSK INTREPID Maersk Total Norway DEEPSEA BERGEN Odfjell Drilling AS Statoil Statoil Norway COSLINNOVATOR 2 2 COSL Europe COSLINNOVATOR COSL Europe Statoil Norway SCARABEO 5 Saipem S.p.A. Statoil Norway BORGLAND DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy RMN RMN Norway COSLPROMOTER COSL Europe 6 COSLPROMOTER COSL Europe Statoil Norway ROWAN GORILLA VI Rowan Companies ConocoPhillips Norway WEST LINUS Seadrill WEST LINUS Seadrill ConocoPhillips Norway MAERSK INTREPID Maersk Total Norway COSLINNOVATOR COSL Europe Statoil Norway MAERSK INTEGRATOR Maersk MAERSK INTEGRATOR Maersk Statoil Norway COSLPROMOTER COSL Europe Statoil Norway MAERSK INTERCEPTOR Maersk MAERSK INTERCEPTOR Maersk Det Norske Oljeselskap Norway WEST LINUS Seadrill ConocoPhillips Norway MAERSK INTEGRATOR Maersk Statoil Norway SONGA EQUINOX (CAT D I) Songa Offshor SONGA EQUINOX (CAT D I) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea MAERSK INTERCEPTOR Maersk Det Norske Oljeselskap Norway SONGA ENDURANCE (CAT D II) Songa Offshor SONGA ENDURANCE (CAT D II) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA EQUINOX (CAT D I) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA ENDURANCE (CAT D II) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA ENCOURAGE (CAT D III) Songa Offshor SONGA ENCOURAGE (CAT D III) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA ENCOURAGE (CAT D III) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA ENABLER (CAT D IV) Songa Offshor SONGA ENABLER (CAT D IV) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA ENABLER (CAT D IV) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea MAERSK XLE 4 Maersk BP South Korea 7 rigger MAERSK XLE 4 Maersk KCA DEUTAG CAT J TBA 1 KCA Deutag Statoil South Korea MAERSK XLE 4 Maersk BP South Korea KCA DEUTAG CAT J TBA 1 KCA Deutag KCA DEUTAG CAT J TBA 2 KCA Deutag Statoil South Korea KCA DEUTAG CAT J TBA 1 KCA Deutag Statoil South Korea KCA DEUTAG CAT J TBA 2 KCA Deutag KCA DEUTAG CAT J TBA 2 KCA Deutag Statoil South Korea FIRM CONTRACT OPTION CONSTRUCTION/YARD NEWBUILDINGS 6 rigger gått ut! FIRM CONTRACT OPTION CONSTRUCTION/YARD NEWBUILDINGS 9/6/2015 Anbud nr 1&2 Anbud nr 3 FIRM CONTRACT OPTION CONSTRUCTION/YARD NEWBUILDINGS

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7 Rig years (330/365 basis) Forventet riggaktivitet (flyterigger)! Floating rig demand outlook in Norway split per category Development Exploration Contracts (excl. Options) 7Source: IHS 2015 IHS

8 Konsekvenser forbundet med rigger i opplag

9 Bortfall av ca 2 milliarder per år i omsetning Kostnad per brønn: Antall brønner per år: Årlig omsetning per rigg: NOK ~500 mill 4-4,5 stk NOK 2 mrd Utvikling i gjennomsnittlig riggrate og brønnkostnad for brønner boret med flyttbar borerigg. Kilde: OD

10 Berørte fulltidsstillinger ved opplag av en flyterigg Førsteordens sysselsettingseffekt Boreentreprenør: Tredjeparter involvert mot riggen: Operatør: Øvrige (service, verft, kurs, opplæring etc.) Førsteordenseffekter: * stillinger *I tillegg kommer transport, bevertning m.m.

11 Berørte fulltidsstillinger ved opplag av en flyterigg Andreordenseffekter: 43 % 35 % Førsteordenseffekter: * stillinger Høyereordenseffekter: 13 % 9 % Sysselsetting operatør: Kilde: Menon Beregning av totale sysselsettingseffekter som følge av eksport og petroleumsvirksomhet i Nordsjøen i 2010

12 Det er Vestlandet og Midt-Norge som berøres Kilde: Menon 2012

13 Opplevd nedgang i markedet tidligere! Name Contractor Operator Next Operators Country WEST NAVIGATOR Seadrill Norway TRANSOCEAN SPITSBERGEN Transocean Statoil Norway TRANSOCEAN SEARCHER Transocean BG Group Edison Norway WEST VENTURE Seadrill Statoil Norway DEEPSEA ATLANTIC Odfjell Drilling AS Statoil Norway J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D MAERSK GIANT Maersk Talisman Norway MAERSK GUARDIAN Maersk Lundin Oil Lundin Oil / Premier Oil TRANSOCEAN BARENTS Transocean Shell Norway BREDFORD DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy AGR Norway ISLAND INNOVATOR Odfjell Drilling AS Lundin Oil Norway Norway SONGA TRYM Songa Offshore Statoil / Statoil Norway / UK / Nor LEIV EIRIKSSON Ocean Rig ASA RMN Norway TRANSOCEAN WINNER Transocean Det Norske Oljeselskap MAERSK GALLANT Maersk Statoil (ConocoPhillips) / (Total) ROWAN NORWAY Rowan Companies ConocoPhillips Norway WEST ALPHA Seadrill ExxonMobil Norway Det Norske Oljeselskap Norway Norway COSLPIONEER COSL Europe Statoil Norway MAERSK REACHER Maersk BP Norway TRANSOCEAN ARCTIC Transocean RMN OMV Norway SONGA DELTA Songa Offshore Statoil Statoil Norway MAERSK INSPIRER Maersk Statoil Norway SONGA DEE Songa Offshore Statoil Norway STENA DON Stena Drilling Statoil Norway WEST EPSILON Seadrill Statoil Norway WEST HERCULES Seadrill Statoil / Statoil Canada / Norway SCARABEO 8 Saipem S.p.A. ENI Norway MAERSK INNOVATOR Maersk ConocoPhillips Norway ROWAN VIKING Rowan Companies Lundin Oil Norway WEST ELARA Seadrill Statoil Norway BIDEFORD DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy Statoil Norway DEEPSEA BERGEN Odfjell Drilling AS Statoil Statoil Norway SCARABEO 5 Saipem S.p.A. Statoil Norway BORGLAND DOLPHIN Fred Olsen Energy RMN RMN Norway ROWAN GORILLA VI Rowan Companies ConocoPhillips Norway MAERSK INTREPID Maersk Total Norway COSLINNOVATOR COSL Europe Statoil Norway COSLPROMOTER COSL Europe Statoil Norway WEST LINUS Seadrill ConocoPhillips Norway MAERSK INTEGRATOR Maersk Statoil Norway MAERSK INTERCEPTOR Maersk Det Norske Oljeselskap Norway SONGA EQUINOX (CAT D I) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA ENDURANCE (CAT D II) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA ENCOURAGE (CAT D III) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea SONGA ENABLER (CAT D IV) Songa Offshore Statoil South Korea MAERSK XLE 4 Maersk BP South Korea KCA DEUTAG CAT J TBA 1 KCA Deutag Statoil South Korea KCA DEUTAG CAT J TBA 2 KCA Deutag Statoil South Korea FIRM CONTRACT OPTION CONSTRUCTION/YARD NEWBUILDINGS

14 Sunn nedkjøling?

15 Er det sunt å kjøre aktiviteten ned til et bunnivå? Oppstarten er dyr Oppbemanning/opplæring fra opplag: 25 MNOK Kostnader til utstyr, service og inspeksjoner Mangel på kontinuitet Kompetansen og sikkerhetskulturen forringes Skadelig for fremtidig rekruttering og omdømme Enorm belastning for de berørte Personlig belastning og økonomisk krevende for den enkelte og deres nærmeste Kompetanse/talent forvitres For mye og for lite forderver alt!

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18 Spørsmål?