Fornybar Energi Hva må til? Venstres klimapolitiske fagseminar

Transkript

1 Fornybar Energi Hva må til? Venstres klimapolitiske fagseminar Stortinget, 19. mars 2010 Torger Lien CEO Fred. Olsen Renewables AS 1

2 Lista-mannen 2

3 Fjeldskår Wind Farm Official opening: 26 th August 1998

4 Lista and Fjeldskår Wind Farms Lista MW Fjeldskår 3.75 MW

5 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project Possible wind farm area FOR acquires project Pre-application to NVE EIS program Oil & Energy Ministers Arnstad/Lahnstein Akselsen Steensnæs Widvey Support Regime Feed-in 4 øre/kwh Green certificate systems from National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.08 TWh 0.2 TWh 0.3 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Crystal Rig

6 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project Possible wind farm area FOR acquires project Pre-application to NVE EIS program Oil & Energy Ministers Arnstad/Lahnstein Akselsen Steensnæs Widvey Support Regime Feed-in 4 øre/kwh Green certificate systems from National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.08 TWh 0.2 TWh 0.3 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Crystal Rig

7 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project Possible wind farm area FOR acquires project Pre-application to NVE EIS program Oil & Energy Ministers Arnstad/Lahnstein Akselsen Steensnæs Widvey Support Regime Feed-in 4 øre/kwh Green certificate systems from National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.08 TWh 0.2 TWh 0.3 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Crystal Rig

8 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project Possible wind farm area FOR acquires project Pre-application to NVE EIS program Oil & Energy Ministers Arnstad/Lahnstein Akselsen Steensnæs Widvey Support Regime Feed-in 4 øre/kwh Green certificate systems from National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.08 TWh 0.2 TWh 0.3 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Crystal Rig

9 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project Possible wind farm area FOR acquires project Pre-application to NVE EIS program Oil & Energy Ministers Arnstad/Lahnstein Akselsen Steensnæs Widvey Support Regime Feed-in 4 øre/kwh Green certificate systems from National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.08 TWh 0.2 TWh 0.3 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Crystal Rig

10 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project Possible wind farm area FOR acquires project Pre-application to NVE EIS program Oil & Energy Ministers Arnstad/Lahnstein Akselsen Steensnæs Widvey Support Regime Feed-in 4 øre/kwh Green certificate systems from National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.08 TWh 0.2 TWh 0.3 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Crystal Rig

11 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project EIS submission NVE consent Planning consent Appeal process Final consent Norway total:? MW Oil & Energy Ministers Widvey Enoksen Haga Riis-Johansen? Support Regime Negotiations Terminated Feed-in 8 øre/kwh Enova investment grant?? National Objective Actual TWh produced New EU imposed target?? 0.5 TWh 0.6 TWh 0.9 TWh 0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Rothes 64 MW Paul s Hill 12.5 MW Crystal Rig - Extension 46 MW Crystal Rig II 92 MW Crystal Rig II UK total: 315 MW

12 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project EIS submission NVE consent Planning consent Appeal process Final consent Norway total:? MW Oil & Energy Ministers Widvey Enoksen Haga Riis-Johansen? Support Regime Negotiations Terminated Feed-in 8 øre/kwh Enova investment grant?? National Objective Actual TWh produced New EU imposed target?? 0.5 TWh 0.6 TWh 0.9 TWh 0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Rothes 64 MW Paul s Hill 12.5 MW Crystal Rig - Extension 46 MW Crystal Rig II 92 MW Crystal Rig II UK total: 315 MW

13 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project EIS submission NVE consent Planning consent Appeal process Final consent Norway total:? MW Oil & Energy Ministers Widvey Enoksen Haga Riis-Johansen? Support Regime Negotiations Terminated Feed-in 8 øre/kwh Enova investment grant?? National Objective Actual TWh produced New EU imposed target?? 0.5 TWh 0.6 TWh 0.9 TWh 0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Rothes 64 MW Paul s Hill 12.5 MW Crystal Rig - Extension 46 MW Crystal Rig II 92 MW Crystal Rig II UK total: 315 MW

14 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project EIS submission NVE consent Planning consent Appeal process Final consent Norway total:? MW Oil & Energy Ministers Widvey Enoksen Haga Riis-Johansen? Support Regime Negotiations Terminated Feed-in 8 øre/kwh Enova investment grant?? National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.5 TWh 0.6 TWh 0.9 TWh 0.9 TWh New EU imposed target?? +0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Rothes 64 MW Paul s Hill 12.5 MW Crystal Rig - Extension 46 MW Crystal Rig II 92 MW Crystal Rig II UK total: 315 MW

15 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project EIS submission NVE consent Planning consent Appeal process Final consent Norway total:? MW Oil & Energy Ministers Widvey Enoksen Haga Riis-Johansen? Support Regime Negotiations Terminated Feed-in 8 øre/kwh Enova investment grant?? National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.5 TWh 0.6 TWh 0.9 TWh 0.9 TWh New EU imposed target?? +0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Rothes 64 MW Paul s Hill 12.5 MW Crystal Rig - Extension 46 MW Crystal Rig II 92 MW Crystal Rig II UK total: 315 MW

16 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project EIS submission NVE consent Planning consent Appeal process Final consent Norway total:? MW Oil & Energy Ministers Widvey Enoksen Haga Riis-Johansen? Support Regime Negotiations Terminated Feed-in 8 øre/kwh Enova?? National Objective Actual TWh produced 0.5 TWh 0.6 TWh 0.9 TWh 0.9 TWh New EU imposed target?? +0.9 TWh +0.9 TWh Fred. Olsen UK Projects 50 MW Rothes 64 MW Paul s Hill 12.5 MW Crystal Rig - Extension 46 MW Crystal Rig II 92 MW Crystal Rig II UK total: 315 MW

17 Lista Development Timeline Lista Project Appeal process Final consent Norway total: 0 MW Oil & Energy Ministers Riis-Johansen? Enova Enova Enova Support Regime National Objective Actual TWh produced??? 0.9 TWh 0.9 TWh 0.9 TWh? 12.5 TWh from certificate market?? New EU imposed target?? Fred. Olsen UK Projects 46 MW Crystal Rig II 92 MW Crystal Rig II UK total: 315 MW

18 Hva kreves! Land Vind Nett-tilknytning Prosjekt og investorkontrollert Godkjennelser og konsesjoner (NVE, kommuner, departementer, etc..) Økonomi (investeringsstøtte, grønne sertifikater, feed-in tariff) Politisk vilje Marked og nettadgang

19 Politisk vilje? 3 TWh Ca. 1,2 GW over 10 år Danmark 3.2 GW de siste år Tyskland 23 GW de siste år UK/Irland 4.2 GW de siste år Spania 17 GW de siste år Norge 0.4 GW de siste år If there is a will there is a way

20 Walk the Talk The 3 TWh goal was not reached because the political will was lacking The new political ambition expressed is 12.5 TWh new renewable within 2020 What should lead me to believe that the political will is now suddenly changed?

21 Paul s Hill Wind Farm, Scotland Fred. Olsen Renewables

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24 Sverige blir delt inn i fire prisområder i løpet av I dag

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26 Et fritt kraftmarked trenger et sterkt nett Prisområder må være et midlertidig tiltak Prisområder reduserer konkurransen og svekker sikringsmuligheten Prisområder er symptomet på et svakt sentralnett Høyste pris i en enkelttime i januar var 1400 Euro/MWh eller 12 kr/kwh I Tyskland var prisen i en enkelttime i oktober -700 Euro/MWH eller -6 kr KWh Negative priser og høye pristopper er et symptom på et svakt sentralnett

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28 Strømmåler installert hjemme hos meg for 10 år siden

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30 Oppsummering Vindkraftutbyggingen i Norge er liten grunnet manglende politisk vilje Handling må følge ord... konkrete mål for fornybar produksjon og midler som understøtter disse Norge har fantastiske vindressurser som bør utnyttes Norges potensial som svingprodusent må utnyttes: Et sterkt sentralnett og kabler til kontinentet/uk bringer produktet til kundene Fleksibel produksjonskapasitet må prises på en slik måte at det kan finansiere utbygging av fleksibilitet. Fleksibelt forbruk krever moderne måling og konkurranse om nett-tjenestene.

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