Kan norsk oppdrettsindustri bidra til Europas rolle som global matprodusent? TEKMAR 2010 Innovasjon i havbruk Britannia Hotell, Trondheim 8. desember 2010 Torgeir Edvardsen SINTEF EATIP 1
Kan norsk oppdrettsindustri bidra til Europas rolle som global matprodusent? Bakgrunnen for spørsmålet o Barosso, 2007 o Befolkningsvekst o Stagnerende EU-produksjon o Europa = EU o Matprodusent = fisk ol F-ordene Fish Feed Jeg skal se litt nærmere på disse to Food Folk and the Future Befolkningsvekst Stagnerende egenproduksjon I EU Food Security i EU? 2
Fremtiden verdensbefolkningen Innen 2050 verdensbefolkningen anslått til å vokse til 9,1 mrd mennesker (FN, 2010) Thousands 6.908.688.000 10 000 9 000 8 000 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 World 9.149.984..000 Source: Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations Secretariat, World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision, http://esa.un.org/unpp Monday, December 06, 2010; 6:22:41 PM. 3
Fremtiden Innen 2050 verdensbefolkningen anslått til å vokse til 9,1 mrd mennesker: Hva skal de spise? WHO anbefaler at vi spiser 450 gram marin mat pr uke o Innen 2050 vil vi trenge 231 MT marine produkter pr år o Det dobbelte av hva vi har nå.. Duarte,C.M et al. Will the oceans help feed humanity.2009. Bioscience. Vol.59 No.11 Matproduksjon.. i sjø 4
Imidlertid, Befolkningsveksten er skjevfordelt: 10 000 9 000 8 000 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Thousands The World Asia Africa Northern America Latin America and the Caribbean Europe Oceania 5
Hva mere er, befolkningsveksten i Europa er avtagende fra ca 2020: 740000 Europe 730000 720000 710000 Europe 700000 690000 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 Western Europe Southern Europe Northern Europe Eastern Europe 680000 670000 660000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 6
Og for spesielt interesserte: i Norge forventes befolkningen å vokse 7000 Norway 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 7
Tilgjengelig mat Ressurser for matproduksjon o Arealressurser o Ferskvann Globale arealressurser Crops 5 % Pasture 7 % Oceans 70 % Forests 9 % Other 8 % Cities 3 % 8
Tilgjengelig mat Ressurser for matproduksjon o Arealressurser o Ferskvann Ferskvann 2,8 mrd (44%) av verdens befolkning lever i områder med vannmangel 67% av tilgjengelig vann brukes i landbruk Prognose: innen 2025 vil vannmangel redusere landbruksproduksjon med 30% Kilde: World Economic Forum World Bank 9
Tilgjengelig mat Ressurser for matproduksjon o Arealressurser o Ferskvann Men, problemet er ikke for lite mat I verden; problemet er fordelingen I dag sulter 1 milliard mennesker Produktivitetsøkninger (pr knapp faktor) 10
Stagnating EU Seafood Production 11
European fish farming 1,240,000 tons 1,680,000 tons tons 1.800.000 1.600.000 1.400.000 1.200.000 1.000.000 800.000 600.000 400.000 200.000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Trout Tilapias Sturgeon Sea Breams Sea Basses Salmon Other Marine fish Other Freshwater fish Flatfish Eels Catfish Source: FEAP Member Associations
EU fish farming Source: FEAP Member Associations
Some net differences! tons EU Aquaculture strategy (2002) forecast 4% annual growth Source: FEAP Member Associations
Total seafood supply in EU Total seafood supply 2008 (EU 27) % Million tons Source 65% 65 % 9,42 Imports 35 % 5,13 National landings and aquaculture 14,55
EU market for aquaculture products (2008) Top ten farmed species in EU consumption (in live weight equivalent) Source: Philippe Paquotte European Commission, European Parliament Brussels Nov. 2010 16
Food Security 18
Food security The World Food Summit of 1996 defined food security as existing when all people at all times have access to sufficient, safe, nutritious food to maintain a healthy and active life. Includes both physical and economic access to food that meets people's dietary needs as well as their food preferences.
Befolkningsvekst Stagnerende egenproduksjon av fisk i EU Food Security i EU? Investeringer i kunnskapsutvikling: the EU is expected to have enough purchasing power to feed its population
Kan norsk oppdrettsindustri bidra til Europas rolle som global matprodusent? Norwegian production of salmon Quantity in tons WFE 800 000 600 000 400 000 200 000-1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008* Ja, men det fordrer: o Forskning o Innovasjon o Finansiering Teknologiplattformen EATIP 21
European Aquaculture Technology and Innovation Platform
From CP via TAs to Deliveries Core Priorities Establishing a strong relationship between aquaculture and the consumer The assurance of a sustainable industry Consolidation of the role of aquaculture in society Deliverables Vision SRA Implementation Plan
From CP via TAs to Deliveries Core Priorities Establishing a strong relationship between aquaculture and the consumer The assurance of a sustainable industry Consolidation of the role of aquaculture in society Process Deliverables Vision Strategic Research Agenda Implementation Plan
From CP via TAs to Deliveries Core Priorities Establishing a strong relationship between aquaculture and the consumer The assurance of a sustainable industry Consolidation of the role of aquaculture in society Thematic Areas Deliverables Vision Strategic Research Agenda Implementation Plan Aquaculture and the Consumer The Assurance of a Sustainable Industry Thematic Areas Product quality & human safety and health Technology and systems (engineering) Managing the biological lifecycle Sustainable feed production Interactions with the environment Aquatic animal health and welfare Knowledge management The Role of Aquaculture in Society
Vision documents and SRIAs The Vision Documents provide a consensus view of where the sector should be in 10 20 years time identifying strengths, weaknesses opportunities, threats and specific knowledge gaps The Strategic Research & Innovation Agendas should describe what needs to be done to respond to the identified goals of the Vision Document
Thematic Area structure (options) Facilitator Industrial Chair Facilitator Industrial Chair Core Group Core Group Working Group Working Group Working Group Ad-hoc Working Group(s) Consult External Experts Consult External Experts Brussels, 23 rd November 2010
Eksempel: TA 2 Technology and systems Kontakt: Jone Gjerde (chair) Laszlo Varadi (facilitator)
TA 2 Technology and systems Technology & Systems Jone Gjerde (chair) Laszlo Varadi (facilitator) Sea Cage Culture Inland Culture Recirkulation Systems Mollusc Culture Handling & Processing Mr. Noralf Rønningen (chair) Dr. Arne Fredheim (facilitator) Mr. Jacek Juchniewicz (chair) Dr. Zdenek Adamek (facilitator) Mr. Idar Schei (chair) Dr. Johan Verreth (facilitator) TBD (chair) Prof. Michel Mathieu (facilitator) TBD (chair) Dr./Prof. II Marit Aursland (facilitator)
TA2 Dokumenter TA Visjon TA 2 Vision Statement 2010 11 30.docx TA SRIA
TA2 Dokumenter TA Visjon..\..\..\EATP\OC TAs\TA2\TA 2 Vision Statement 2010 11 30.docx TA SRIA TA2 SRIA Key Goals 2010 11 30.doc
TA2 Dokumenter TA Visjon..\..\..\EATP\OC TAs\TA2\TA 2 Vision Statement 2010 11 30.docx TA SRIA..\..\..\EATP\OC TAs\TA2\TA2 SRIA Key Goals 2010 11 30.doc TA2 Aksjonsplan Copy of TA2 Plan Of Actions 2010 11 30.xlsx
Neste skritt Operativt konsil: Fra TA til EATIP Visjon SRIA Aksjonsplan Intern konsultasjon blant medlemmene
Hvorfor delta ieatip EATIP provides a unique opportunity to develop the European aquaculture value chain through RTDI through: Multi stakeholder debate and discussion Identifying needs, opportunities and gaps Developing a Vision for the future Providing Strategic Research and Innovation Agendas Providing Implementation Plans Communicating its conclusions and proposals
Hvordan delta ieatip Bli medlem! Søknadsskjema på nett www.eatip.eu Forpliktelser, rettigheter Kun medlemmer har stemmerett og kan delta i TA WG SM
Tidslinje Februar 2011: TA SRIA Februar Mai: EATIP SRIA; intern konsultering Mai 2011: offentliggjøring; promosjon
Takk for oppmerksomheten! Torgeir Edvardsen EATIP Board of Directors Coordinator of Thematic Areas Address: SINTEF Fisheries and Aquaculture, N-7465 Trondheim, Norway Telephone: +47 9111 6501 E-mail: torgeir.edvardsen@sintef.no
Teknologi for et bedre samfunn 38