GRØNN VERDISKAPING Adm. dir. Idar Kreutzer, Finans Norge Agderkonferansen 22. januar 2015
2 En global markedsplass i endring
Numberof Earths Verdens ressursutnyttelse er ikke bærekraftig Vision 2050 ecological footprint against business-as-usual How many Earths do we use? 2.5 2 2.3 Earths (BAU) 1.5 1 0.5 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Year 1.1 Earths (Vision2050 ) Carbon footprint Cropland Grazing land Forest land Built-up land Fishing ground Source: Global Footprint Network and WBCSD Vision 2050, 2010 3
Strategisk konsekvenser Rising cost of capital Evolving framework conditions Fluctuating prices and availability of raw materials Business Changing consumer behavior Increasing complexity of risk Those companies that wait to be forced into action or who see it solely in terms of reputation management or CSR, will do too little too late and may not even survive. Paul Polman, CEO Unilever Source: World Business Council for Sustainable Development, Vision 2050 4
The pathway to Vision 2050
Energieffektivisering og fornybar Vision for 2050 Secure and sufficient supply of low-carbon A new energy mix to reduce CO 2 emissions World abatement of energy-related CO2 emissions in the 450 scenario Turbulent teens Tilting and leveling the playing field for energy Transformation time Greenhouse gas emissions peak and decline Kilde: International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook 2009, OECD/IEA 2009 6
Økt materialeffektivitet og gjenvinning Vision for 2050 Not a particle of waste Eliminating waste by closing the material loop An alternative material life cycle Turbulent teens Doing more with less Transformation time Closing the loop User Long use Reuseof products Reuseof parts Closed loop materials recycling Open loop materials recycling Manufacturer Landfill Kilde: WBCSD 7
Bærekraftige bygg og effektive prosesser Vision for 2050 Close to zero net energy buildings System integration is key to achieving energy efficiency in buildings Players and practices in the building market Turbulent teens Turning the market toward energy efficiency Transformation time Smarter buildings, wiser users Kilde: WBCSD, Energy Efficiency in Buildings, 2008 8
Nye løsninger vil bli nødvendig for å møte vannetterspørselen Demand for water will outstrip supply Action is needed to plug the gap Base-case demand, supply and corresponding gaps for certain regions Aggregate 2030 demand Billion m 3 India 1,498 2030 supply Aggregate gap China São Paulo state 818 20 Agriculture Industry Municipal and domestic South Africa 18 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Billion m 3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 % of demand Source: McKinsey/Water Resources Group, Charting our water future, 2009
Bærekraftig verdiskaping Environment Society Sustainable value creation Economy 10
Technology partnership Siemens - Statoil Eksempel: Innovativ teknologianvendelse Wind power Subsea technology Electrical engineering technology and energy efficiency measures 11
The Southern Coast of Norway NODE s VISION: To help the oil and gas industry on the southern coast of Norway remain world-leading irrespective of competition. The cluster has redefined itself, moving from a volume-based cluster to a knowledge-based cluster. Four learning areas are given priority: Mechatronics Robotics Logistics Management 12
Oljeservice en betydelig vekstmotor 13 Kilde: Rystad Energy/Regjeringen, 2012
Utfordringer i norsk økonomi Oljeprisen er på et betraktelig lavere nivå Oljeinvesteringene vil reduseres 14
Betydelig kronesvekkelse Sterkere USD mot NOK demper noe av den negative effekten fra oljeprisfallet Svak NOK bedrer Norges konkurranseevne og gir en positiv impuls til eksportsektoren 15
Bærekreftige bygg Vann Materialeffektivitet Energieffektivisering Anvende tilgjengelig teknologi og kompetanse til å møte nye behov 16
Investeringene i clean energy de siste 10 årene 17
Transitioning from high to low carbon economy require significant investment In the next 15 years 18 Source: Better growth, Better Climate The New Climate Economy Report
Næringslivets vinnere Næringslivets fremtidige vinnere er de som i strategien for sin kjernevirksomhet forener globale samfunnsog miljømessige utfordringer med egen lønnsom vekst From Challenge to Opportunities, WBCSD 19