Havvind En industriell mulighet for industrien langs Vestlandskysten Asle Lygre, Idevekst Energi Prosjektleder Arena NOW Bergen Næringsråd 4. september 2012
Norwegian Network Projects under the Arena Programme Lønnsomme vinteropplev Nye prosjekter 2011 Arena Beredskap Innovative opplevelser Arena Smart Grid Services Omegaland Arena Frukt og bær Norwegian Offshore Wind Smart Water communities Windcluster Mid_Norway akvarena MediArena Maritime CleanTech West Arena Offshorefartøy Ocean of opportunities Arena Eyde Arena Usus Arena Helse i Valdres Oslo MedTech Arena Helseinnovasjon Vannklyngen Arena Magica IKT Grenland Arena Fritidsbåt
An Offshore Wind Farm
Offshore Wind Market Drivers in Europe EU : 15% of electricity to come from offshore wind by 2030 Security of supply The need for generating new jobs Planned» 40 GW installed by 2020 (4% of EUs el consumption)» 150 GW installed by 2030 Feed in tariffs make it all happen!
Offshore Wind European installed base by 2011 3.8 GW installed by 2011 in 53 wind farms in Europe 14 TWh supplied to grid in a normal year (11% of Norway s annual production) 2.4 GW in 9 wind farms under construction, CAPEX Euro 7 billion. Preparatory work started on 9 additional projects. 18 GW fully consented in Europe in deeper waters and further from coast than previously Annual growth +30%!
Offshore Wind UK Market - Round 3 Total : 32 GW 25% of UK electricity from offshore wind Map Courtesy of Crown estate Moray Firth 1.3 GW Investments : GBP 75 billion 70 000 new jobs in the UK 5 6000 turbines Firth of Forth 3.5 GW Dogger Bank 9 GW 5 6000 foundations 5 6000 km of inter-array cabling 150-160 offshore substations 10 000 km export cable 30-40 next generation vessels Irish Sea 4.2 GW Hornsea 4 GW East Anglia 7.2 GW UK market anticipated to represent around 50% of the total European Market Atlantic Array 1.5 GW West Isle of Wight 0.9 GW Southern Array 0.6 GW
Offshore Wind CAPEX and OPEX must be reduced COE excludes transmission, distribution and CO2 costs 10% interest 5% interest COE determined by: Financial costs Cost of construction Maintenance costs Capacity factors CO2 prices Fuel prices Plant lifetime Construction lead time A 33% reduction in COE makes offshore wind competitive vs. onshore wind A 42% reduction in COE makes offshore wind competitive vs. gas fired power plants Source: Projected costs of generating electricity, IEA 2010
Offshore Wind & The Industrial Challenge COE is 75% CAPEX related & 25% OPEX related Imperative to reduce CAPEX to lower COE! A 33% reduction of COE can be realized by:» 35% reduction of CAPEX» 25% reduction of OPEX The industrial challenge is to significantly reduce CAPEX (30-40%) whilst improving reliability and lifetime!
Offshore wind What can Norway offer? 40 years accumulated experience from development and operations of offshore oil & gas installations Strong Norwegian oil & gas and maritime industry clusters with global outreach Strong renewable energy sector based on hydro power» Norwegian industry is well positioned to service the emerging global offshore wind energy market
Disse selskapene leverer produkter og tjenester til offshore vind nå!
Og disse er på vei ut i markedet.» InWind DPII Jack-up installation vessel» NorWind DP floating jacket foundation installation vessel
Men olje & gass går jo så det griner Det går greit for Norge på kort sikt. Men om noen år kan vi få en svakere utvikling og vi risikerer at fastlandsøkonomien forvitrer. Vi har ikke hatt lavere investeringsnivå siden 70-tallet. Det er en farlig utvikling, sier direktør for næringspolitikk i NHO, Petter Haas Brubakk, i en pressemelding.
Offshore Wind The Industrial Ambition CAPEX [Euro] OPEX [Euro] TOTAL [Euro] 2020 EU market 10.4 Billion 2.4 Billion 12.8 Billion 2030 EU market 20.6 Billion 9 Billion 29.6 Billion The offshore annual wind market (Capex+Opex) may be at NOK 150 200 billion by 2025 and onwards. The ambition : Norwegian industry to annually export products and services worth NOK 15-20 billion.
Hva kan dette bety i verdiskapning? Verdiskapningspotensiale: Omsetning : 15 milliarder Antall ansatte : 5000 Antatt Lønnskostnad : 2.5 milliarder Antatt driftsresultat : 1.5 milliarder Estimert årlig verdiskapning 4 milliarder
Hvordan kommer vi dit? Vi trenger et (lite) hjemmemarked : Det er god sammfunnnsøkonomi å bruke 1 milliard i offentlig drahjelp for å realisere Havsul, Vestavind Offshore s 300 MW havvindspark
Hvordan jobber vi i Arena NOW? 9 11 October Hull, Yorkshire & Humber, UK : Commercial opportunities : Team up with UK-partners Meet decision makers : Meet some of the Round 3 developers Market Intelligence : Update your knowledge on UK-opportunities Brokerage Event: Request one-to-one meetings with UK participants Hands-on experience : Visit to leading offshore ports and facilities Further information & registration : http://www.b2match.com/nsow2012
Arena NOW Partnere www.arenanow.no