Kan havvind skape en ny grønn vekstnæring for Norge? Jon Dugstad, Director Wind & Solar

Kan havvind skape en ny grønn vekstnæring for Norge? Jon Dugstad, Director Wind & Solar

Founders Government Ministry of Petroleum and Energy Ministry of Trade and Fisheries Ministry of Foreign Affairs Merger of INTSOK and INTPOW Independent non-profit foundation 250 partners/members Trade organisations: Energy Norway Federation of Norwegian Industries Norwegian Oil and Gas Association Norwegian Shipowners Association The Norwegian Confederation of Trade Unions Industry Statoil Statkraft

Vision Norwegian Energy Partners will strengthen the long-term basis for value creation and employment in the Norwegian energy industry by facilitating international business development.

How? We map capability, technology and competitiveness of the Norwegian suppliers to match with industry and client demand internationally. We add competitiveness and reduce risk of international business development.

Havvind et globalt vekstmarked

Annual installed capacity (GW) Cumulative installed capacity (GW) med base i Europa! 3,5 3,0 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 0,5 0,0 15,780 MW Installed capacity 4,419 Grid-connected turbines 94 Grid connected sites 1995 1998 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0

med store forventninger om videre vekst (15-20% p.a.) 140 120 100 GW 80 60 40 20-2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Europa USA Kina Others

LCOE ( /MWh) Kostnadsreduksjonene raskere enn forventet! 180 156 145 160 140 Source: BVG Associates 124 122 120 102 100 78 69 68 62 85 65 65 80 60 40 20 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016 2016 2016 2017 2017 2017 2017 Walney Race Bank extension East Anglia Borkum Horns Rev Riffgrund III Borssele I & II Krigers Flak Sources: BEIS, DONG Energy, Bundesnetzagentur, NEV, Energinet.dk, Danish Energy Agency Borssele III & IV Cluster 1 Triton Knoll Hornsea II Moray 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Offshore wind NNG (UK) EA1 (UK) Horns Rev 3 (DK) Borssele 1&2 (NL) Vesterhav (DK) Kriegers Flak (DK) Borssele 3&4 (NL) Triton Knoll (UK) Hornsea 2 (UK) Moray Firth (UK)

- har gjort havvind konkurransedyktig! Kilde: Wind Power Monthly/BEIS

70% av kostnadene er knyttet til BOP og drift og vedlikehold Ports and logistics 0.2% Salvage and recycling 0.0% Vessels and equipment 16.4% Substation installation 0.4% Maintenance and inspection services 14.8% Onshore works 0.6% Environmental Consenting and Source: BVG Associates Project management surveys development services Site 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% investigations 0.5% Installation ports and logistics 0.6% Operation, maintenance and service 35% Installation equipment and support services 3.0% O&M ports 3.8% Cable installation 2.4% Project Marine management operations 2.1% 3.3% Decommissioning Installation and commissioning 12% Turbine and foundation installation 4.9% 4% Development and project management 3% Blades 5.1% Wind turbine supply 28% Balance of plant 19% Drive train 5.2% Turbine assembly 1.2% Power conversion 8.3% Large fabrications 1.3% Towers 3.5% Small components 3.0% Subsea cables 4.8% Transmission 3.2% Turbine foundations Substation 7.6% structures Source: BVG Associates 2.1% Secondary steelwork 1.4%

Expenditure ( million) Technology, Supply Chain and Expenditure 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 Source: BVG Associates The rated power of turbines has increased over a 15- year period, from 2MW to 9,5MW. Monopile foundations will continue to be widely used. Jacket and gravity base foundations will be used in rocky soil conditions or deeper waters. 5,000 0 Project development Foundation Transmission '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 Foundation installation Transmission installation Turbine Array cable Turbine installation Array cable installation OMS Global annual expenditure for offshore wind in 2022 will be approximately 25,7 billion Expenditure between 2018 and 2022 will be about 108,3 billion 27% of all offshore spend by 2022 In 2017, the first large-scale floating foundation project was installed in the UK. 66kV array cables were first installed on a project in 2017 meaning capacity of a string can be increased and electrical losses can be reduced. Higher voltage transmission will be used for larger projects further from shore, or where 'clusters' feed into central HVDC transmission systems. Move towards 'third generation' jack-up installation vessels to perform lifts in higher wind speeds. SOVs and drones will become more widely used for larger projects located further from shore. A 600 billion market until 2030 BVG Associates 2017

170 of ca. 260 Norwegian Energy Partners partners are interested in offshore wind

Er det noe for oss?

Våre styrker Store komplekse prosjekter Marine operasjoner Havmiljø og materialstyrker Offshore drift og vedlikehold Teknologi og risiko HMS kultur Tilgjengelige ressurser

En norsk havvindindustri! NOK bn 45 40 35 12% 10% 30 8% 25 20 15 10 5 Norsk markedsandel fra 5 til 10% i 2030 Internasjonal omsetning 3-doblet neste 10 år Omsetning nærmer seg 50 milliarder i 2030 6% 4% 2% 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Total 10 largest Norwegian co s Other Market Share 0%

30% Norsk innhold i Hywind Skotland - Engineering av understell og tårn og system - Innkjøpstjenester - Transport av understell - Forberedelse til sammenstilling av turbin med understell og generatorer - Tauing, forankring, drift - Statisk og dynamiske kabler og tilbehør - Sikkerhetstjenester, verifikasjon og garantiundersøkelser Flytende havvind first mover advantage

Et hav av forskjellige konsepter

Mulighetene er enorme, bare begrenset av vår evne til å utnytte dem! Jon Dugstad Director Wind & Solar jon@norwep.com