«Nye verdikjeder fra trevirke» -planene for nytt bioraffineri på Follum = Treklyngen v/ole Petter Løbben, utviklingssjef Treklyngen Holding AS

Transkript

1 «Nye verdikjeder fra trevirke» -planene for nytt bioraffineri på Follum = Treklyngen v/ole Petter Løbben, utviklingssjef Treklyngen Holding AS NSIB Grand Hotell, Oslo 6.juni 2013

2 29.juni overtok Viken Skog nedlagte Follum Fabrikker og etablerte Treklyngen; Mål: Å bygge framtidens norske skogindustri!

3 Norges største skogsamvirke andelseiere i fem fylker Mer enn hvert fjerde tre hogd i Norge omsettes gjennom Viken Skog Industrielt engasjement i 90 år Sterkt involvert i utformingen av miljøreglene, frivillig vern, Markalovproblematikk Etablerer Treklyngen for å fornye norsk skogindustri Kort om Viken Skog

4 Hvorfor Treklyngen? Økonomisk krise og nedgang i etterspørsel etter papir pga teknologisk utvikling rammer norsk skognæring hardt: Union, Follum, Peterson, Hellefoss/Vafoss, Tofte? Svak norsk konkurransekraft krever nye løsninger og høyere verdiskapning i skognæringen. Klyngekonseptet er antagelig en forutsetning for en framtidsrettet og lønnsom norsk skogindustri. Norske eiermiljø i treforedlingsindustrien er nesten utradert. Skognæringen må selv ta ansvar om næringen skal overleve og fornye seg. Den ha gjort det før.! Bruk av skogressursene er et viktig verktøy i klimakampen, men Norge gror igjen!

5 Muligheter 1: Fokus på bærekraftig utvikling og grønn økonomi. Skogen et viktig bidrag til å løse flere av vår tids store utfordringer: «bomullskrisa», klimautfordringene, substitusjon av ikkefornybare ressurser. Krisen forsterker ubalansen mellom avvirkning og tilvekst. Norske skogeiere sitter på stadig mer utnyttbart råstoff. Nå må valget tas: -Skal vi ha en skognæring? Regjeringen ser ut til å mene «ja!» 5

6 UTVECKLING AV STÅENDE VOLYM, ÅRLIG TILLVÄXT OCH AVVERKNING I NORGE Norge utnyttjar en allt mindre andel av avverkningsmöjligheterna Källa: Skog & Landskap, Statistics of Forest Conditions and Resources in Norway COPYRIGHT PÖYRY 6

7 Muligheter 2 plass!

8 Treklyngen; hvordan lykkes? Innovasjon og nytenkning i alle ledd! 1 Skogbruket: leveransesikkerhet og råstoffpris; nye metoder for kjøp og salg av tømmer, effektivisert avvirkning og smartere transport fra stubbe til industri 2 Skogindustrien: fra knatt til klynge; etablering av effektive industriklynger for utnyttelse av samdriftsfordeler, lavere kostnader og bedre ressursutnyttelse 3 Produkter og marked: fra gårsdagen til morgendagen; økt bruk av tre i urbane bygg, nye produkter og nye anvendelser for massevirke, biodrivstoff kommer, men når? Skogen, en bærebjelke i den grønne økonomien! Mulighetene er utallige

9 1. Innovasjon i skogbruket Økt avvirkning og et mer kostnadseffektivt skogbruk: Skogeiendommen (aktivt skogbruk må favoriseres) Virkesomsetning (rotkjøp/grøntlager/treprising) Kostnadsreduksjoner (større drifter, bedre utnyttelse av anleggskapital, smartere transportplanlegging) Veier/infrastruktur (norske veier og bestemmelser må opp på nordisk standard, Systematisk oppgradering av Gulsvik-bruer )

10 VÄRDEKEDJAN SKOG FRÅN STUBBE TILL INDUSTRI Flödesschemat visar de viktigaste stegen i den skogliga värdekedjan som har berörts i denna rapport 1. Köpprocessen 2. Avverkningsplanering 3. Avverkning 4. Skotning 5. Transport 3. Skotning 6. Gårdsplanshantering 5. Inmätning COPYRIGHT PÖYRY 10

11 KOSTNADERNA I NORGE (VIKEN) BETYDLIGT STÖRRE ÄN I SVERIGE ÄVEN MED VIKENS NYA PRISSÄTTNINGSSYSTEM Faktorer som lön, diesel, ränta avskrivnin etc. förklarar inte skillnaderna! Stjärnorna visar läget i medeltal 2011 (2012 för Viken) Viken N. Sverige S. Sverige Finland COPYRIGHT PÖYRY 11

12 COPYRIGHT PÖYRY VIKEN SKOG SA - PRESENTATION, OSLO

13 2. Innovasjon i skogindustrien Klyngekonseptet: Tremekanisk: Treforedling: Bio-energi: Bio-konstruksjon Bio-materialer/kjemikalier Bio-brensel/drivstoff Treklyngen: -foredling av hele treet i et bio-kombinat

14 WORK PROCESS Step 0: Assessment of site and operations Step 0: The objective of step 0 is to produce an assessment of the site, its operations and infrastructure to serve as a foundation for the site development and key input for the work process ahead. Workshop I: During the workshop the results of the site analysis along with the mapping of options will be discussed. A decision on which options are to be taken into further analysis in Step 2 will be made by Viken Skog. Step 2: Evaluation of options and business cases Workshop II: Presentation of the business cases for the chosen options. Viken Skog will make a decision which options are to be included in the following step 3. Final presentation of the strategy and action plan. Step 3: Development of strategy and action plan Step 1: Mapping of options for future site operations Step 1: Step 1 aims at providing a long list of potential operations suitable for the site with initial order of preference over time. Step 2: In step 2 an in-depth analysis of the business potential and attractiveness of each of the chosen options are to be made. The result will be a highlevel business case for each alternative and its contribution to the biorefinery cluster. Step 3: Based on the options chosen by Viken Skog after workshop II Pöyry will develop a strategy for the biorefinery business as well as an action plan on how to realise the strategy, also considering options applicable over time and how to pursue these. COPYRIGHT PÖYRY VIKEN SKOG - WORKSHOP I 23 OCTOBER

15 WORK PROCESS FOR STEP 1 PRODUCTS EVALUATED Wood fibre and chips Pulps BSKP UKP CTMP Dissolving Solid wood products Sawnwood GLM CLT Plywood LVL Wood-based panels MDF Particle board Wood based insulation board Building components Pellets Torrefied pellets Pyrolysis oil Bio coke Wood Ethanol Synthetic biofuel Biogas (SNG) DME Biodiesel Jet fuel Biochemicals & materials Energy production (heat, steam, power) Wood construction materials Wood based fuels ANALYSIS CONTENTS INTRODUCTION Product description Process description Strategic fit TECHNOLOGY Technological maturity Raw material and energy Technology developers FOLLUM PLATFORM Site suitability Production volume/scale Integration PROJECT SET-UP Investment need Timescale/frame Partner prospects END USERS AND MARKET OUTLOOK End users Market outlook RESULTS RANKING (product attractiveness as stand alone) Strategic fit Technology Follum platform Capital intensity Market outlook Indicative economical attractiveness INTEGRATES Major greenfield sawmill State of the art pulp mill 2 nd generation biofuel production COPYRIGHT PÖYRY VIKEN SKOG - WORKSHOP I OCTOBER 2012

16 RANKING RESULTS In initial product ranking, engineered wood products, sawnwood, pyrolysis oil and bio CHP alternatives receive the best ranking followed by chemical pulps and biodiesel. Products not performing well in the ranking are synthetic biogas, bio coke, wood based ethanol, torrefied pellets particleboard and CTMP pulp. 4,5 4,0 3,5 3,0 2,5 2,0 Total score Building components CLT GLM LVL Pyrolysis Insulation board Pellets CHP Torrefied pellets Biochemicals & materials MDF Wood chips Plywood Particle board Bioconstruction concept CTMP Sawnwood Biodiesel Jet fuel Wood Ethanol DME Bio coke Dissolving Biofuels concept Biomaterials concept UKP BSKP 1,5 1,0 Biogas (SNG) Bubble size reflects the CAPEX Wood consumption, m 3 /a COPYRIGHT PÖYRY VIKEN SKOG - WORKSHOP I OCTOBER 2012

17 BIOREFINERY STRATEGY The strategy consists of three stages and wood processing platforms. Each concept offers several development opportunities. Building of BioConstruction as foundation for the Follum biorefinery Primary focus on sawmill partnering to launch site development Integrate development through pyrolysis and sawnwood processing Develop BioMaterial concept Development of Pulp mill concept at Follum offering flexibility and platform for development of future success products Prepare for BioFuels business Biofuel concept development through partnering Sawmill integrate provides synergies for alternative biofuel production pathways COPYRIGHT PÖYRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY 18 VIKEN SKOG

18 BIOCONSTRUCCTION CONCEPT IN A NUTSHELL Description An integrate based on mechanical wood processing consisting of three main opreations: 1. Sawmill 2. Sawnwood processing 3. Pyrolysis oil production Key figures Production capacity Per year Wood consumption Revenue Investment IRR Amount, Type Million NOK Million NOK % m 3 Sawnwood m³ Sawlogs Sawnwood processing Pyrolysis oil - - Sawnwood MWh Chips & sawdust Integrate Roundwood % Key success factors Competitive sawlog price level Reliance on domestic sawnwood and wood product markets Integrated use of by-products Off-take agreement for pyrolysis oil Business logic The concept is based on a sawmilling platform with primary focus on sawlog processing. This combined with further processing operations as well as capacity up-scaling potential enable maximum value for the processed raw material. The sawmilling residues, sawdust and sawmilling chips, are used for pyrolysis oil production. Bark is used for heat production at sawmill. The concept offers a variety of future development opportunities based on sawnwood further processing as well as pyrolysis oil upgrading. Domestic market is expected to be an important market region for the concept, even though there are export market opportunities as well. COPYRIGHT PÖYRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY 19 VIKEN SKOG

19 BIOMATERIALS CONCEPT IN A NUTSHELL Description A state of the art fossil free pulp mill with a flexibility to produce a variety of products: 1. BSKP 2. Dissolving pulp 3. UKP 4. Fluff pulp 5. (Ethanol through hemicelluloce recovery) Key figures Maximum production capacity Per year BSKP Adt Dissolving VI Adt FlexiPulp Adt Wood consumption Revenue Investment IRR Amount, Type Million NOK Million NOK % m 3 Pulpwood and chips Pulpwood and chips Pulpwood and chips % % % Key success factors Flexibility in market cycles Market demand for new softwood pulp capacity through expected closures of aging capacity Sufficient availability of wood with a reasonable cost Finding a partner with required financial resources to execute the project. Business logic The concept is based on continuous kraft cooking allowing a flexibility to produce a variety of pulp products depending on the prevailing market situation. The product range serve all the wood pulp markets from graphic papers, packaging, tissue and hygiene to textile markets. All the products will be free from fossil fuels enabled by a modern lime kiln gasifier. In addition, the concepts enables production of advanced renewable ethanol if dissolving pulp production will become the major end product. Lignin separation and use for chemical and material production is also a future option. COPYRIGHT PÖYRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY 20 VIKEN SKOG

20 BIOFUELS CONCEPT IN A NUTSHELL Description A 2nd generation, gasification and Fisher-Tropsch synthesis based technology to produce synthetic biofuels for automotive and aviation use. Key figures Maximum production capacity Per year Biodiesel t Wood consumption Revenue Investment IRR Amount, Type Million NOK Million NOK % m 3 Forest residues % Key success factors Commercialization of production technology Improvement of the concept economics Favourable policy environment for wood based biodiesel Business logic Production of 2nd generation biofuel to European automotive and aviation fuel markets driven by growing demand for advanced, non-food fuels. Maximum utilization of low quality wood such as harvest residues. Potential to use also pulpwood in case of restricted availability of low quality wood. In a process that can convert biomass to synthetic carbon chains, the product palette is open and opportunity to move to more higher value added products offers significant business upside potential. COPYRIGHT PÖYRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY 21 VIKEN SKOG

21 ALL BIOCONCEPTS INDICATIVE SITE PLAN FOR ALL BIOCONCEPTS Combination of sawmill integrate, pulp mill and biofuels production plant is possible with some site preparation work and utilisation the area in Northwest. Sawmill 1. Log sorting 2. Sawmill and green sorting 3. Drying kilns 4. Sawnwood storages 5. Dry sorting and planing 6. Unsorted log storage 7. Pyrolysis plant 8. New road connection Pulp mill 9. Wood yard and debarking 10. Chip storage 11. Pulp line 12. Recovery island 13. Drying and pulp storage 14. Effluent treatment Biofuels plant 15. Wood yard and chipping 16. Chip storage 17. Drying 18. Gasifier island 19. Gas conditioning 20. FT and refining island 21. Tank farm Further processing 22. Building component production COPYRIGHT PÖYRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY VIKEN SKOG 22

22 WOOD USE DIVIDED BETWEEN BUSINESS CONCEPTS COPYRIGHT PÖYRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY VIKEN SKOG

23 BIOREFINERY STRATEGY IN TIME PERSPECTIVE Short term 1-4 years Medium term 5-8 years Long term 9+ years Bioconstruction: partnering and planning Sawnwood Further processed sawnwood Wood construction solutions Pyrolysis oil Upgraded pyrolysis fuels Biomaterials concept: partnering and planning Dissolving pulp, BSKP, UKP, fluff Ethanol (if dissolving is the main product) Chemicals Biofues concept: partnering and planning FT-biodiesel Naphta Kerosene COPYRIGHT PÖYRY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY 24 VIKEN SKOG

24 3. Innovasjon: produkter - marked Økt bruk av tre i bygg: Det urbane trebyggeriet Substitusjon: materialer og kjemikalier med bærekraft Fornybar energi: biobrensel/2.generasjon bio-drivstoff Skogen som virkemiddel i klimakampen!

25 Bergen 2013: «Sky is the limit!»

26 Planteflasken RB presentasjon Zero-konferansen

27 Ta av på 1, 2, TRE! RB presentasjon Zero-konferansen

28 Pan Innovasjon AS Industriinkubatoren som skal realisere Trekyngen s planer

29 Selskapets tre forretningsområder - KIF K- Funksjon som Kommersialiseringsenhet I - Funksjon som Industri inkubator F - Funksjon som Forskningsenhet De tre forretningsområdene vil dels operere i en integrert prosess, dels operere helt uavhengig av hverandre Hensiktsmessighet og enkeltprosjektenes behov avgjør Viken Skog BA presentasjon

30 Status Treklyngen Sanering av gamle Follum: Reguleringsplan utvidet område: Konseptutredning Treklyngen ved Pöyry: PAN Innovasjon som SIVA industriinkubator: 2013 Samarbeidspartnere: Tekniske forprosjekter med IN-støtte: Produksjonsstart: 2017!

31 Treklyngen; en ny æra i norsk skogindustri!