Review of the IO valuation cases on the NCS

Transkript

1 Review of the IO valuation cases on the NCS Torsten H. Bertelsen Dr. lic. oec. NPD Arbeidsområder: Gassperspektivanalysen / Fusjon StatoilHydro / PÌAF / IO

2 Agenda NPD and E-Drift /Integrated Operations Integrating Integrated Operations into our Benchmarking Toolbox (PIAF) Challenges and Further improvement

3 NPD and Integrated Operations - Background Studies (OLF, Petoro and other) indicating a significant value added through IO 2 Measures: Carrying out Edriftsforum / Spreading information about IO Integrating IO in our organisation / annual benchmarking process

4 Integrating IO in Benchmarking Process IAF 2007 Performance Indicator Analysis for Fields

5 Data Sources Revised National Budget Quantitative data Annual Status Report Qualitative data Annual reporting of resources, production data and economic data Results Plans 2007, and long term ambitions The Status Report forms a basis for the authorities assessment of whether the field is operated in accordance with the preconditions in regulations, cf section 4-1 of the Petroleum Act. Results 2007, plans

6 Measures on prioritised fields A Measures at high level (MPE) Field report B Measures now NPD study C D Awaiting new measures No measures at present Follow-up Disseminate best practise

7 Main indicators and level 2 indicators RESOURCE GROWTH (RES) Reserve growth Projects Exploration ECONOMY (PLAN/AMB) Investments Operating costs Unit costs Lifetime IMPROVEMENTS (PLAN) Operations Capacity Tie-in Recovery strategy 100 % 75 % 50 % 25 % 0 % RECOVERY (RES) Production Injection Development wells IMPROVEMENTS (RES) Operations Capacity Tie-in Recovery strategy RECOVERY (PLAN) Production Injection Development wells RESOURCE GROWTH (PLAN) Reserve growth Projects Exploration Approx 100 indicators on level 3 ECONOMY (RES) Investments Operation costs Unit costs

8 IO and PIAF Describe planned implementation of integrated operations and state planned investments in integrated operations ECONOMY (PLAN/AMB) RESOURCE GROWTH (RES) 100 % 75 % 50 % RECOVERY (RES) Describe implementation of integrated operations and state investments made in integrated operations 25 % IMPROVEMENTS (PLAN) Drift 0 % IMPROVEMENTS (RES) Drift RECOVERY (PLAN) ECONOMY (RES) RESOURCE GROWTH (PLAN) Integrated operations are described by two indicators last year Consequences of e-operations will influence other indicators

9 IO and PIAF Results last year High level of activity observed/reported Inaccurate reporting Worst Score 40 Antall felt 30 As expected " Top Score 0 - IO Investments 2006 IO Investments Planned

10 Further Improvements Observations: A clear IO/Edrift/E-field. definition is still not in place. and will not occur Without definition measuring and analyzing is challenging: a) Level of IO b) Effects of IO or at least time-consuming With the PIAF-toolbox NPD has a full/good KPI coverage of all fields on the NCS in place Ambitions: Linking IO and PIAF Mapping IO status on all fields on the NCS in an time efficient way Analyzing correlation between IO-Status and KPI

11 IO PIAF Ongoing process Process Stripping IO into the key functionalities/capabilities Developing a questionnair Mapping IO status for all producing fields on the NCS Integrating in PIAF Field x has. (enablers) Field x can. (functions/capabilities) Field x is achieving. (KPI) = > Extracting IO related performance Side-effects => IO/Efield definition (?) Questioning exisisting /new functionalities (Innovations at the edge)

12 Ongoing process Key functionalities in key processes Reservoir Management Drilling and Well Production Optimalization Operations Maintenance and Modifications

13 Thank you!

14 E.g. Reservoir management Langsiktig utviklingsarbeid; Hvilke plandokumenter foreligger (reservoarstyringsplan, datainnsamlingsplan og/eller langtidsplan)? Hvor ofte oppdateres disse og hvem er involvert? Hvilken status har disse og hva brukes de til? Reservoarstyring; Hvordan og hvor ofte bidrar reservoarmiljøet i kortsiktig produksjons- og reservoarstyring? Hvilke arbeidsprosesser benyttes for å modne boremål, hvem er involvert? Datainnsamling; Verdisettes reservoardata på en realistisk måte og i hvilken sammenheng? Hvilke strategier og hovedtiltak benyttes for å bedre reservoarforståelsen? Hvor ofte gjøres ulike kampanjer? I hvilken grad benyttes smarte løsninger i brønner for datainnsamling/styring? Samhandlingsteknologi; Hvordan sikres tverrfaglig samhandling i arbeidsprosessene? Benyttes særskilt visualiseringsutstyr eller samhandlingsprosedyrer i tverrfaglig integrering Hvilke data kvalitetssikres i sanntid fra land?

15 BACK UP

16 Verdi- og ressurspotensialet Verdipotensialet Produksjonsøkning (økt nåverdi) - Samhandling sanntid, samhandlingsrom, simulering, styring og støtte Kostnadsreduksjoner - Reduserte driftskostnader offshore - Vedlikeholdssystemer, flytting av oppgaver på land, fjernstyring, mindre utreise - Reduserte B&B kostnader - Treffsikker boring, sanntidsoptimalisering, mindre offshoreutsendelser - Økte kostnader onshore Ressurspotensialet Økte reserver (i nær fremtid, med høy NV) - Brønnplassering, reservoarmonitoring og styring Økt utvinning (i nær fremtid, med høy NV) Økte reserver (i fremtiden, men med lav/ingen NV)

17 PIAF Indikatorforslag fra møteserie Innspill til indikatorer: Digital infrastruktur Datastandarder, informasjonssikkerhet, overføringsformater med mer Indikatorer og endringer i organisasjon og prosess Regularitet produksjonsoptimalisering Boreeffektivitet og akselerert produksjon Økt produksjon Måling av e-driftsinvesteringer HMS (slår ut på etablerte KPIer) Innsigelser/utfordringer: E-drift er det samme som effektiv drift (kan ikke isoleres og måles) Hvordan isolere e-driftseffekter (produksjon, reserverøkning, HMS.)? Hvordan isolere e-driftsinvesteringer? Repetitive målinger lar det seg gjøre?