PolCorridor Creating Europe s Most Advanced Freight Transport Corridor

Transkript

1 PolCorridor Creating Europe s Most Advanced Freight Transport Corridor Puls prosjektledersamling april 2004

2 Korridor

3 PolCorridor Prosjektet har to doktorgradskandidater a) Institutionalization of Working Relationships between Polish, Czech, Austrian and Hungarian Railways for Efficient Supply of Common Rail Transport Services within the PolCorridor Freight Transfer System b) Optimization of the PolCorridor Intermodal Freight Supply Network WP5 som omfatter Economic/Financial Feasibility og WP6 som omfatter Information Systems Development er påbegynt En teknisk test for Blue Shuttle Train vil bli gjennomført til høsten Politiske myndigheter i Sverige, Polen, Tsjekkia og Slovakia har samlet seg om å innlemme PolCorridor i Trans-European Network (TEN) EU Kommisjonen s aksept av et FP6 prosjekt (REORIENT) vil føre til en utvidelse av PolCorridor-

4 ork Package 1 emand Assessment and Market Analysis for olcorridor transport services Assessment of most valuable customers Merchandising and manufacturing companies with current and stable business in PolCorridor markets Merchandisers, manufacturers, shipping and logistics providers with expansion plans in PolCorridor markets Present freight volumes in trade between Norway, Sweden, Finland and PolCorridor countries Freight flows and modes in the current transport system Volumes of freight flows until 2006

5 Hovedmarkeder PolCorridor godstyper onsumvarer og ferdigvarer, vs. typisk landtransportgods og gods gnet for intermodal transport (bulk ods og finsk papir eksport er ikke nkludert) PolCorridors eografiske dekning ord Europa: Norge, Sverige og Finland ydøst-europa: Kjernemarked som vist å kartet

6 Kjennetegn ved PolCorridors marked Godsmarkedet 2002 (Norge/Sverige - Sydøst-Europa) 3,5 mill tonn sydgående og 2,3 mill tonn nordgående (for kjerneområdet hhv 1,3 mill tonn og 0,7 mill tonn) Sydøst-Europa et marked i sterk vekst eksport fra Norge/Sverige: til PolCorridor landene +24% (Vest-Europa -5%) import: fra PolCorridor landene +29% (Vest-Europa +16%) Landtransport er konkurransemessig sterkere enn skip pga. høyere lagrings og stock-out kostnader, så lastebilen er hovedkonkurrent som transportmidde Prognosemodellen EXPEDITE viser at økte transportkostnader for lastebil overfører godstransport fra veg til jernbane ved lange transportavstander (definert som >100 km) Prognoser viser sterk import- og eksportvekst for Sydøst-Europa

7 Transport av relevante gods til/fra den sydlige PolCorridor region NORTHBOUND SOUTHBOUND From Country (1,000 tons) (%) Finland % Sweden % Norway % To Country (1,000 tons) (%) Finland % Sweden % Norway % Total % Total %

8 Geografisk distribusjon av godsflyter fra/til Finland, Sverige, Norge 2002 (1,000 ton)

9 Forventet eksport/import vekst

10 Min and Max Train Potential TRAINS PER WEEK min pot. max pot. SOUTHBOUND NORTHBOUND ASSUMPTIONS AND COEFFICIENTS Poland, Czech Rep and Turkey excluded from estimations Tons / container (TEU) : 14 Tons / trailer : 18 Tons / rail wagon (loose cargo) : 25 Containers / wagon 2 Trailer loads / wagon 1 Weeks / year 52 Wagons / train 40 Min potential : Existing container and rail transport Max potential : Also including trailer transport

11 Transport Modes - Trade with Norway 2002 Total PC region Road: 67% Ship: 19% Rail: 14% Western Part of European Continent Road: 47% Ship: 48% Rail: 5%

12 Work Package 2 Assessment of Currently Supplied Service Quality by Rail Operators in Poland, the Czech Republic, Austria and Hungary, and Feeder Links to Northern and Southern Europe has materialized in knowledge of: Technical conditions of traction and rolling stock in the currently supplied service quality by rail operators. Present freight volumes in trade between Norway, Sweden, Finland and PolCorridor countries Organisational solutions and SOPs within Polish, Czech, Hungarian and Austrian railways Border-crossing practice, standards, and regulations

13 Work Package 3 Dissemination of Findings to User Forums and Professional Workshops Potential users from Norway, Sweden, Finland, Central European and South-Eastern European countries gathered to provide input to the research team Attraction of industrial interests, potential Blue Shuttle Train operators and feeder service suppliers Business validation of scientific findings and calibration of the Go / Do Not Go decision criteria reflecting business requirements was provided

14 Work Package 4 Go / Do Not Go Decision Confirmed business viability based on robustness of market fundamentals, and feasibility of operational solutions and quality of infrastructure. Comparison of scientific results with business priorities and requirements Incorporation of users demands into evaluation criteria; carrying out of evaluation Making and substantiating the Go/Do Not Go conclusion

15 Oppsummering PolCorridor er en ny transportkorridor med stor leveringskapasitet. Vil utnytte ledig kapasitet i infrastrukturen i sentral-europa. Vil transportere gods mellom Norden og markeder i Sydøst- Europa med stor handelsvekst. Forventet 20% vekst mellom nord/syd handel i relevante gods over de neste 5 årene. Korteste vei mellom Norden og Sentral- og Sydøst-Europa med mulighet for minst 1 daglig tog i hver retning. Bred støtte fra politisk hold og fra kommersielle aktører. Oppstart i 2005 For mer informasjon: se PolCorridor s webside ved