Technology transfer. Organisert som eget prosjekt i SFI2 i André Teigland Assisterende direktør, Norsk Regnesentral

Transkript

1 Technology transfer Organisert som eget prosjekt i SFI2 i André Teigland Assisterende direktør, Norsk Regnesentral SFI-forum, Norges forskningsråd, 15. mai 2013

2 Statistics for Innovation (sfi) 2 Vertsinstitusjon: Norsk Regnesentral (NR) Akademiske partnere: UiO og NTNU Senterleder: Arnoldo Frigessi Petroleum Statoil Marin Havforskningsinstituttet Helse Oslo Universitetssykehus Smerud Medical Research PubGene Biomolex Finans DNB Hydro Gjensidige Sencel Spermatech

3 Smerud Medical Research Statistical science

4 Breakthroughs!

5 Hvor skal Statoil bore? ALL geo-physical knowledge Bayesian network methodology Obtain the ordered list of locations to drill, in order to as cheaply as possible abandon the area. Tested retrospectively Soon as shadow approach systematic exploration simulation

6 Pair Copula forbedrer risikostyring i finans Models the dependence of multiple variables Especially important for extreme common behaviours Flexible, adapts to complex situations better than other approaches 525 $ 376 $ Applications in many areas finance insurance hydrology information systems genetics Paircopula Markowitz- (benchmark) University of Queensland Business School

7 Random effect modeller gir bedre prediksjoner for bilskader Beyond traditional GLM models Random effect models Estimate individual residual risk, which remains unexplained - net of known info on person Claims per person per year Fit random effect model Fit standard model both on claim data base predict individual claims Who does best? Extreme groups in the data Low 2 % group High 2 % group OUR METH OD STA ND ARD T R U T H 0.134

8 Bedre forvaltningsmodeller for fiskeri ved bruk av catch-at-age programmet From commercial fishery data, estimate how much fish has been caught, by age Catch-at-age is key input in age-structured stock assessment Uses landings and discards, length data and some age data Currently used by HI for several commercial species, incl. cod. The best catch-at-age method in the world. A Bayesian modelling framework for the estimation of catch-at-age of commercially harvested fish species David Hirst, Geir Storvik, Hanne Rognebakke, Magne Aldrin, Sondre Aanes, Jon Helge Vølstad age

9 Hvorfor er ikke alle resultater tatt i bruk? Gjennomgang av alle prosjekter Er det flaskehalser? Gjennomgang i Styret 9

10 Opprettet eget Technology Transfer prosjekt med dedikert ansvarlig For alle prosjektene i SFI2: Hva er prosjektets innovasjonsmål? Hvordan kan resultatene bli brukt? Trengs det mer metodeutvikling? Hva er status hos partneren(e)? Overføringsplan del 1; ut 2013 del 2; 2014 og videre drift Deadlines Dokumentasjon av verdi Hanne Rognebakke Seniorforsker NR. Technology Transfer Officer 10

11 6 general issues: 1. How do you really plan to test/use this? In some cases we need to move closer to the decision processes at our partners, as we have to understand even better the needs and requirements of our partners, to make final adjustment to our results. This also allows a more useful communication of results to partner. 2. Why is this not yet interesting for partner / implemented / tested? The main challenge of the TTO is to identify and solve bottlenecks. 3. Follow up closely? TTO should consider the possibility to have regular transfer meetings with partners and project scientist.

12 6 general issues: 4. Who decides to use / implement / test? Reaching the appropriate senior leadership at our partners can be important for transfer and later for documentation of added value. 5. How to assist best? Some of our results are used (or will be used) as development tools; others will enter daily processes. Often our tool will be used as a shadow - in parallel to current solutions. Different type of support in the transfer is needed in these cases. Support after transfer (often by NR) should also be offered. 6. How to document impact? The TTO should develop a procedure for documentation of the benefit for our partners of (sfi)2 results. Mandat: 1. Beskrive status 2. Utarbeide og gjennomføre operativ plan